Dollar wallows near one-week low as Fed's policy signal awaited

Wednesday,   19-Dec-2018   09:06 AM (IST)

The dollar languished close to one-week lows on Wednesday as investors wagered the Federal Reserve would slow the pace of U.S. monetary tightening after its keenly-watched policy meeting later in the day.The safe-haven yen and the Swiss franc held a firm tone in early Asian trade as an overnight plunge in oil prices provided yet another reminder of the deteriorating global growth prospects, and underscored why traders expect the Fed will likely be done after an expected rate hike this week.The yen and the Swiss franc were well bid at 112.37 and 0.9916 respectively, after posting three consecutive days of gains.Risk sentiment has been scarred by weaker-than-expected economic data out of China and the eurozone, while the Sino-U.S. trade dispute and a collapse in oil prices have added to fears the global economy is fast losing momentum.In Asia, markets are looking to China’s three day Central Economic Working Conference meeting that starts on Wednesday for Beijing's growth and reform objectives. A steady downturn in China's economy this year has been one of the key drivers of asset markets, including currencies, over recent months.The dollar index was down 0.2 percent at 96.9, extending losses into the second day. The U.S. currency has also been pressured by a fall in the U.S. 10-year treasury yield, which has slipped by around 10 basis points in the last three days.Nervous anticipation was palpable in global markets as they awaited the Fed's decision later in the day, especially for its policy guidance for 2019 after what is expected to be its fourth rate hike for this year.While the U.S. central bank's latest median dot plot projections from September indicated three more hikes in 2019, the rate futures market is pricing in only one more rate hike for 2019 - a shift that underscored growing signs of stress on the global economy that many believe will eventually crimp U.S. growth.However, some analysts still see the Fed raising rates 2-3 times in 2019.Yet there were enough reasons for dollar bulls to stay cautious.Elsewhere, the euro was steady $1.1380, enjoying a rare uptick in the past three sessions as the dollar grappled with lower yields and monetary policy risks.